Browse by Topic "Islamic capital markets"
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- PublicationDaily traders' and institutional investors' wealth effect upon sukuk and conventional bond announcements: a case study of Malaysian firms using event-study methodology and wavelet analysisMohamed Hisham Hanifa; Abul Mansur Mohammed Masih; Obiyathulla Ismath Bacha (Bursa Malaysia & Malaysian Finance Association, 2014)
The last decade has witnessed a rapid expansion of Islamic financial instruments with a notable proliferation of Islamic investment certificates called sukuk. In spite of the expansion, research to appraise their growth implications remains limited. This paper investigated the structural differences within sukuk and conventional and their implications on investor return reactions. It also looked at the investors' different decision making time horizon dimensions in response to the respective debt security's announcement. Our sample consisted of 158 conventional bonds and 129 sukuk issuers between 2000 and 2013. Event-study methodology and wavelet analysis were used resulting in three major findings. Firstly, market investors perceived sukuk and conventional bonds as different financial instruments. Variations in investor reactions persisted when each sub-category of sukuk and conventional bond were examined separately. Lastly, firm value and shareholder wealth were affected in different ways upon the issuance announcement of of a specific sukuk or conventional bond. Specifically, the equity-like features within convertible bonds and partnership-based sukuk negated institutional investors' wealth, but were due to different 'dilution' arguments. Sukuk created unique wealth effects for corporate issuers, day traders and institutional investors in comparison with conventional bonds.
- PublicationDeterminants of sukuk and conventional debt security offers in the context of trade-off and pecking-order theoriesMohamed Hisham Hanifa; Abul Mansur Mohammed Masih; Obiyathulla Ismath Bacha (INCEIF, 2015)
Sukuk is dominating the Malaysian capital market with strong support from the government, mega-conglomerates and firms. As an important source of firms' financing, sukuk is increasingly catching up with existing conventional debt in terms of transaction volume and the number of deals. In spite of the rising interest among issuers in sukuk offers, research to appraise firm's issuance motives and the subsequent effects on shareholders' wealth upon sukuk and conventional bond announcement remains limited. Hence, through this initial study, firstly, we examine the association of firm specific characteristics with the respective debt security principles offers. Secondly, we also investigate the impact of each debt security offer announcement on issuer overall shareholders’ wealth effects. To address the first issue, we employed the dynamic GMM (both difference and system) analyses for testing the “partial adjustment model” with a view to investigating whether firms maintain an optimal target debt ratio when issuing each debt security principles, consistent with the trade-off theory key predictions. We also used the same model to examine the firm’s specific determinants of target debt ratio in an integrated approach. To address the second issue, we adopt both, “event-study” methodology and “wavelet” analysis. The aim is to examine the true dynamics of relationship between the debt security announcement and the shareholders’ wealth effects, given multi-horizon nature of investors.
- PublicationDividend payout policy of Shariah compliant firms: evidence from United StatesZaheer Anwer; Andrea Paltrinieri; M. Kabir Hassan; Shamsher Mohamad Ramadili Mohd (Elsevier B.V., 2021)
This paper investigates the effects of religious screening on payout behavior of US firms. Shariah compliant (SC) indices serve as suitable sample as they are emerging as alternative investment class in the last two decades. Through an analysis of a sample of US firms belonging to Dow Jones proprietary database for the period 2006-2018, this study provides evidence that SC firms are more prone to make total payout, cash dividends and repurchases. We use panel logistic regressions with industry and year fixed effects. The findings reveal that the drivers of higher propensity of total payout are higher profitability, higher retained earnings, lower debt capital structure and lower asset growth. The factors that contribute to likelihood of paying higher cash dividends are higher profitability, lower governance levels and lower market/book assets ratio. Moreover, better governance, lower asset growth and lower equity/assets increase the propensity of SC firms to make higher repurchases. These findings are important contribution to the Islamic corporate finance and dividend policy literature.
- PublicationEmpirical evidence of risk shifting in bonds and debt-based sukuk: the case of Malaysian corporationsSiti Raihana Hamzah; Abbas Mirakhor; Nurhafiza Abdul Kader Malim; Obiyathulla Ismath Bacha (Emerald Publishing Limited, 2018)
The purpose of this paper is to examine the extent of risk shifting behavior in bonds and sukuk. The examination is significant, as economists and scholars identify risk shifting as the primary cause of the global financial crisis. Yet, the dangers of this debt-financing feature are largely ignored - one needs to only witness the record growth of global debt even after the global financial crisis. To identify the signs of risk shifting existence in the corporations, this paper compares each corporation's operating risk before and after issuing debt. Operating risk or risk of a firm's activities is measured using the volatility of the operating earnings or coefficient variation of earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA). Using EBITDA as the variable offers one distinct advantage to using asset volatility as previous research has - EBITDA can be extracted directly from firms' accounting data and is not model-specific.
- PublicationEssays on the comparative performance, volatility, tracking error and trading characteristics of Islamic versus conventional equity indices and exchange traded fundsAftab Parvez Khan; Obiyathulla Ismath Bacha; Abul Mansur Mohammed Masih (INCEIF, 2015)
The meaning of investments is that you sacrifice something valueable now in order to gain benefit from it in the future. Timing of the investment is of great importance (McDonald & Siegel, 1986, p. 724). One could invest in real assets, i.e. land, buildings, machines, and knowledge which are used in order to produce future goods and services. Investments could also be made in financial assets, such as stocks and bonds, which do not contribute directly to production but are used as claim-holdings on real assets. There are three main types of financial assets: fixed-income or debt securities, derivative securities and equity. Thus, investments operate mainly in financial markets. The major players of the financial market are firms, which mostly raise funds; households, which mostly save; and governments, which may act as borrowers as well as lenders. Since corporations and governments do not sell the largest part of their securities directly to individuals, the role of financial intermediaries is of great importance. Between the security issuer and the ultimate security owner, in most of the cases, financial institutions such as mutual funds, pension funds, insurance companies and banks facilitate the process (Bodie et al., 2009, p. 1-33). One of the most common measures of stock and bond market performance is by indexes. Indexes are computed and published daily, providing investors possibilities to easily monitor performance of a particular equity (Bodie et al., 2009, p. 38). As globalization has spread international trade and cross border transactions have increased. Thus, daily information of the performance of indexes from all over the world has become a very important part of daily news for investors.
- PublicationHigh quality liquid sukuk for a megabank MDB's lab portfolio: relevance, practice, empirical research, and prospects in a challenging global environmentAbdullah Karatas; Volker Nienhaus (INCEIF, 2017)
Among the available liquidity management instruments in Islamic banking, only sukuk of a particular type meet the requirements of HQLA (in principle) as defined by the Basel Committee and adapted for Islamic finance by the IFSB (Islamic Financial Services Board) (IFSB, 2017). Candidates for HQLA are only international sukuk, i.e. sukuk that are issued in an international currency, sukuk that are also publicly listed, and sukuk that are traded not only locally but also internationally. Sovereigns and international institutions such as the IDB (Islamic Development Bank) have issued almost all sukuk of this caliber. In this PhD thesis, the research will make empirically informed qualitative projections on the outlook for HQL (high quality liquid) sukuk to constitute the LAB (liquid asset buffer) portfolio for an Islamic megabank MDB (multilateral development bank) in the context of a rising global interest rate environment, falling oil prices, and a challenging global environment. Further qualitative projections about the prospects for the sukuk market are made based on a few case studies that encapsulate some of the critical limitation facing the sukuk market.
- PublicationSukuk credit rating: determinants and wealth effect in the pre and post Shariah governance reformMahmoud Al Homsi; Zulkarnain Muhamad Sori; Shamsher Mohamad Ramadili Mohd (INCEIF, 2017)
This research investigates the determinants of Malaysian Sukuk’ credit rating by studying firm financial characteristic, corporate governance attributes, macroeconomic factors, and Sukuk structures. The sukuk structures determinants examine during the pre- and post-Shariah governance reform period (SG2010) to ascertain the effectiveness of the governance reform. Lastly, this research investigates the wealth effects of change in Sukuk ratings (upgrading or downgrading). Both listed and unlisted firms are analysed, with total 328 sukuk issuances and 1110 sukuk rating announcements from 2009 to 2014. Ordered logit regression and generalized ordered logit regression are used to explain the impact of different determinants on sukuk credit rating. Event study methodology was applied to ascertain the wealth effect of 16 sukuk upgrade and 20 sukuk downgrade announcements. The results on determinants of sukuk credit ratings indicate that a positive sukuk credit rating is associated with financial information, governance attributes, and sukuk structure whilst the macroeconomic factors did not influence sukuk credit ratings. More precisely, firm size, profitability, and leverage had significant positive effect on sukuk credit rating for listed firms whilst only firm profitability had a positive effect on sukuk credit rating for unlisted firms.
- PublicationTime varying correlation between Islamic equity and commodity returns: implications for portfolio diversificationAftab Parvez Khan; Sarkar Humayun Kabir; Omar K. M. R. Bashar; Abul Mansur Mohammed Masih (Australian Academy of Business and Social Sciences, 2014)
This paper aims at investigating the time varying relationship between Islamic equity and commodity returns in order to examine how combination of Islamic equities and commodities contribute to the benefits of portfolio investors and managers. In order to investigate this relationship, we employed multivariate GARCH method on return series of five different commodity groups (energy, precious metals, agricultural, non-ferrous metals and softs group), Dow Jones spot commodity index as a proxy of an aggregate commodity market and Dow Jones Islamic index over the period January 3, 2001 - March 28, 2013. Our findings show that correlations between commodity and Islamic stock markets’ returns change in different time periods and these two markets moved very closely during 2008 financial crisis in particular. Besides, volatility of returns in both markets reached at their peaks during the 2008 crisis period. We also show that despite sharing some common features, commodities cannot be considered as a homogeneous asset class: a speculation phenomenon is for instance, highlighted for energy sector comprising oil, while the safe-haven role of gold is evidenced, which constitutes a part of precious metal sector.
- PublicationWealth effects of corporate sukuk announcements and risk dynamics: a multi-country studyZiyaad Mahomed; Shamsher Mohamad Ramadili Mohd; Mohamed Ariff (INCEIF, 2016)
This thesis evaluates the wealth effects of corporate Sukuk issuances, based on specific sample traits, for the three largest issuing countries: Malaysia, Indonesia and Saudi Arabia. The sample traits include underlying structure, size of issuance and tenor. Previous studies are inconclusive and relate mainly to Malaysian firms only. This could be attributed to the failure to incorporate the effects of Sukuk types, properly identified crisis period effects and market differences. Bai-Perron (2003) break-point analysis is used to correctly identify the crisis periods for the sample. Event study methodology is applied to ascertain market reaction to announcements for a 51-day announcement window: (-40, +10). The cumulative average abnormal returns were estimated after adjustment for non-synchronous trading using the Scholes and Williams (1977) technique and cross-correlation using the Kolari-Pynnonen (2010) method. Similar break-points were observed for Malaysia and Indonesia, whereas Saudi Arabia had delayed and sustained contagion effects. For wealth effects, the results imply that sample traits affect market reaction significantly. The Malaysian market reacts positively to debt-based issuances before and after the crisis. Reaction to equity-based issuances is significantly negative after the crisis. Reaction is positive for larger issuances and shorter tenors. The Indonesian market reacts positively to debt-based issuances during the crisis period. This can be attributed to high issuer ratings, small issuance size, short tenors and high demand. Saudi market reaction is negative post-crisis, similar to the market reaction to convertible bond announcements as documented in the literature.
- PublicationWhy do issuers issue sukuk or conventional bond? Evidence from Malaysian listed firms using partial adjustment modelsMohamed Hisham Hanifa; Abul Mansur Mohammed Masih; Obiyathulla Ismath Bacha (Elsevier, 2015)
Although sukuk has been dominating the Malaysian capital market, the motivations of the firms issuing sukuk or conventional bonds remained largely unexplored. Using the partial adjustment model, we make the initial attempt, to test a firm's target debt optimizing behavior and secondly, to find the firm specific determinants of target debt ratio using a sukuk or conventional bond issuance 3 dataset. Our sample consists of 120 conventional bonds and 80 sukuk issuers from 2000 to 2012. We employ two recent dynamic panel data estimators, 4 which resulted in three major findings. Firstly, our results provide stronger support for trade-off view based on a firm's optimizing behavior among sukuk and conventional bond issuers, however with different issuance motives. Secondly, issuers of partnership-based sukuk and convertible bonds closely follow the pecking order view, in which the former is chosen based on firms facing a higher information asymmetry cost. Finally, while both exchange-based sukuk and straight bond issuers align towards a particular target, only firms with higher sales growth prefer the former. Reinforced by industry insights, our findings evidence that the sukuk offers bring unique “benefits” to corporate issuers unlike those of the conventional bonds.
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