• or
    Login
    New user? Click here to register.Have you forgotten your password?
  • Communities & Collections
  • Browse
  • Statistics
  • or
    Login
    New user? Click here to register.Have you forgotten your password?
  1. Home
  2. Browse by Author

Browse

  • Communities & Collections
  • Year
  • Authors
  • Titles
  • Topics

Author profile

  • Aishath Muneeza (275)
  • Baharom Abdul Hamid (127)
  • Shamsher Mohamad Ramadili Mohd (124)
  • Mansor H. Ibrahim (104)
  • Zulkarnain Muhamad Sori (94)

Topics

  • Conventional finance (15)
  • Islamic banking (13)
  • Islamic capital markets (11)
  • Islamic finance (6)
  • Sukuk (4)
  1. Home
  2. Browse by Author

Browse by Author "Nursilah Ahmad"

Jump to:

  • 0-9
  • A
  • B
  • C
  • D
  • E
  • F
  • G
  • H
  • I
  • J
  • K
  • L
  • M
  • N
  • O
  • P
  • Q
  • R
  • S
  • T
  • U
  • V
  • W
  • X
  • Y
  • Z

or enter first few letters:

Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Results Per Page
Sort Options
  • Loading...
    Thumbnail Image
    Publication
    Forecasting inflation in Malaysia
    Jarita Duasa; Nursilah Ahmad; Mohd-Pisal Zainal; Mansor H. Ibrahim (John Wiley & Sons, 2010)

    This paper aims to identify the best indicator in forecasting inflation in Malaysia. In methodology, the study constructs a simple forecasting model that incorporates the indicator/variable using the vector error correction (VECM) model of quasi-tradable inflation index and selected indicators: commodity prices, financial indicators and economic activities. For each indicator, the forecasting horizon used is 24 months and the VECM model is applied for seven sample windows over sample periods starting with the first month of 1980 and ending with the 12th month of every 2 years from 1992 to 2004. The degree of independence of each indicator from inflation is tested by analyzing the variance decomposition of each indicator and Granger causality between each indicator and inflation. We propose that a simple model using an aggregation of indices improves the accuracy of inflation forecasts. The results support our hypothesis.

Abstract View

2668931

View & Download

186827

  • About us
  • Policy
  • FAQ